Chan School of Public Health, said that in declaring the pandemic over now, it "seems like we are endorsing this level of disease burden and mortality associated with the virus."Īnd Dr. Rachael Piltch-Loeb, a research associate at the Harvard T.H. "If you believe, as I do, that we have reached a new stage of stability, to continue to call it a pandemic purely for the purpose of trying to scare people into doing stuff doesn’t seem right to me," Wachter said. Tayfun Coskun / Anadolu Agency via Getty Images Neufeld funeral home in Queens, N.Y., on April 29, 2020. Caskets holding the bodies of people who died from Covid-19 at the Gerard J. case and death counts over the last few months. Many disease experts think it’s time, or almost time, to declare an end to the pandemic, given the widespread availability of Covid vaccines and treatments, the fact that no variant has overtaken omicron since December and the relatively stable U.S. Ashish Jha, has said he thinks those measures could lead the number to drop further: "We now have all of the capability to prevent, I believe, essentially all of those deaths," he said at a briefing this month.īut at this point, Murray said, "most people have moved on" in terms of their behavior. The White House coronavirus response coordinator, Dr. That's because the current death counts may include some people who tested positive for Covid when they were hospitalized but died of other illnesses. Chris Murray, the director of the IHME.Ĭovid death numbers could also fall if hospitals stop routinely testing people for the virus. "It would not surprise me if we have a similar magnitude of deaths from Covid as we do from flu," said Dr. So some experts are hopeful that Covid could drop in the U.S. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, or IHME, a research organization at the University of Washington that regularly models Covid deaths, predicts a decline in Covid deaths over the next two months. Leana Wen, an emergency physician and professor at George Washington University.Įxperts said Covid is likely to remain among the U.S.'s 10 leading causes of death for the foreseeable future, regardless of new vaccines, boosters or treatments that might become available. "As we’ve figured out how we’re going to live with this disease in perpetuity, it makes sense to contextualize it as another illness that Americans have to face," said Dr.
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